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Technology Predictions

After having silently made predictions to myself about the future of technology and seeing them come to fruition, it dawned on me I ought to make this stuff public.

Normally I don’t make posts filled with Twitter embeds, but I figure it’s a simple way to prove the timestamp of the claim.

Shift in paradigm for batteries (1/24/2015)

  • Battery advancements will continue to be incremental but the way we use them will drastically change. Just as today we use hotspots for internet, we will also see hotspots of energy. First, these will be novelty, often sponsored wireless charging zones, but eventually more robust cellular networks that are available from either cell phone service providers or third parties.
    • There is a fundamental issue with packing more energy potential into a small space (safety) whose consequences are more grave than packing more transistors into a chip. For this reason, the way we consume that power needs to deviate to carrying our own little supply with us everywhere we go.
    • That is not to say batteries won’t continue to exist, but that their ability and ease of being charged will overcome their shortcomings in capacity.
    • Update January 20, 2015: We are starting to see some of this creep up, although only with inductive charging.
  • There is a fundamental issue with packing more energy potential into a small space (safety) that is not as grave as packing more transistors into a chip. For this reason, the way we consume that power needs to deviate to carrying our own little supply with us everywhere we go.
  • That is not to say batteries won’t continue to exist, but that their ability and ease of being charged will overcome their shortcomings in capacity.

  • Computers (as we know of them today) of the future will be available at a cost so low that they might as well be disposable. Not just at the $25-$35 pricepoint of today, but $0-0.01.
    • Computer systems will be redefined as actual clusters of hundreds, millions of tiny computers all bundled together and synchronized in a small package. This is analogous to the way human cells work. Each can work on its own and shares the same DNA. The effect on a system of the death of one cell is easily solved by replacing it by another, which is synchronized to the state of all the others.
This is a paradigm shift away from single computers with many single differentiated components that constantly improve. In a cellular computer system, The collective integrity of the cells becomes the most important spec.
  • Extraterrestrial habitats will be used no longer just for communication relay but actual data storage. ET storage networks will be part of the standard offering of what are today called “cloud” storage solutions.
  • The popularity of 3D printers will be slightly overshadowed by 3D copiers.

Phone numbers disappear (1/24/2015)

A new type of machine for AI (5/12/2015)

I actually began thinking about this around 2006 but have struggled to put it into words succinctly.